Design and Development of A Financial Decision Support System For Stock Market Investors Using Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

Abstract

In the recent times, the stock markets have emerged as one of the top investment destinations for individual and retail investors due to the lure of huge profits that are possible with stock investments compared to more traditional and conservative forms of investments such as bank deposits, real estate and gold. The stock markets unlike other forms of investment are highly dynamic due to the various variables involved in stock price determination and are complex to understand for a common investor. newlineIndividual and small time investors have to generate a portfolio of common stocks to reduce the overall risk and generate reasonable returns on their investment. This phenomenon has given way to many individual and retail investors incurring huge losses because their decisions are based on speculation and not on sound technical grounds. While there are financial advisory firms and online tools where individual investors can get professional stock investment advice, the reliability of such investment advice in the recent past has been inconsistent and not meeting the rigor of quantitative and rational stock selection process. Many of such stock analysts and the tools mostly rely on short term technical indicators and are biased by the speculation in the market leading to huge variances in their predictions and leading to huge losses for individual investors. newlineWhile the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) techniques is widely adopted in the financial domain, integration of AI/ML techniques with fundamental variables and long term value investing is a lacking in this domain. Some of the stock portfolio tools available in the market use AI/ML techniques but are mostly built using technical indicators which makes them only suitable for general trend predictions, intraday trading and not suitable for long term value investing due to wide variances and reliability issues.