Modelling of renewable energy systems

Abstract

The energy requirement in India is increasing steadily and this requirement is being met by both conventional and non conventional energy sources. Due to non availability of sufficient resources and a considerable amount of emission of pollutants from conventional sources and the increasing constraints led by the international agreement, it is now felt that renewable energy has to be utilized to greater extent so as to achieve the country goals i.e. green house gases reduction and meeting the energy demand. In India, about 70% of the total renewable power generation is obtained from wind. The theoretical potential of the renewable energy sources is considered in this thesis is 85,000MW which is sufficient to meet the energy deficit of the country presently. In the earlier work, the forecasting has been done using diffusion models which are mainly used to determine the clean development mechanism potential using renewable sources such as wind, biogas, solar etc. The technology diffusion models for the determination of most appropriate renewable energy based technology which is presently being implemented have not been found in the previous literature survey. In this work, three different diffusion models are implemented for the determination of most appropriate technology that can be adopted for power generation in the country .The model is also used for forecasting of the renewable power generation up to 2020.